Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.540577 1.671049 1.809218 1.966744 2.141739 2.330597 2.550397
2026-01-11 1.357644 1.538958 1.741851 1.986917 2.276488 2.609703 3.024971
2026-01-18 1.235961 1.447277 1.693649 2.004573 2.389975 2.856600 3.471368
2026-01-25 1.139354 1.368909 1.645454 2.007088 2.473377 3.062532 3.876548
2026-02-01 1.043000 1.279269 1.571528 1.964984 2.489161 3.175646 4.163549
2026-02-08 0.969026 1.210118 1.515337 1.936965 2.515374 3.297964 4.467241
2026-02-15 0.911940 1.157488 1.474957 1.923983 2.556918 3.439818 4.806862
2026-02-22 0.881607 1.137112 1.474426 1.962946 2.670728 3.689378 5.326128
2026-03-01 0.837363 1.094688 1.440432 1.951321 2.709143 3.829741 5.689816
2026-03-08 0.792477 1.048427 1.397738 1.923258 2.719513 3.926336 5.990488
2026-03-15 0.741406 0.990648 1.335269 1.861632 2.673641 3.930542 6.136710
2026-03-22 0.714946 0.966048 1.318409 1.865935 2.728197 4.095792 6.569976
2026-03-29 0.693604 0.948178 1.310951 1.884936 2.808808 4.312728 7.123941
2026-04-05 0.674454 0.932434 1.305598 1.906542 2.894829 4.545764 7.735059
2026-04-12 0.655615 0.916049 1.298119 1.923831 2.974276 4.773520 8.363218
2026-04-19 0.634468 0.895062 1.282311 1.926328 3.028240 4.960082 8.933062
2026-04-26 0.604604 0.859472 1.242108 1.886341 3.005635 5.005407 9.221809
2026-05-03 0.579976 0.830784 1.211210 1.859715 3.004046 5.088359 9.597175
2026-05-10 0.560211 0.808740 1.189679 1.847375 3.026648 5.218084 10.087953
2026-05-17 0.552442 0.805008 1.197045 1.884410 3.141138 5.534686 11.034476
2026-05-24 0.534984 0.785206 1.177413 1.873361 3.165343 5.674269 11.594969
2026-05-31 0.515368 0.761191 1.149809 1.846686 3.157952 5.748680 12.010601
2026-06-07 0.490514 0.727883 1.105531 1.788092 3.085491 5.682472 12.074989